Degen Tweets OPM Director. Director Updates Website. Degen Cashes $118K.
$60M Kalshi market hinged on one webpage. @GroyperFinance_ asked the guy who runs it.
@GroyperFinance_ had $118K riding on whether OPM would update its website by 11 AM. So he tweeted at the OPM Director to make sure it happened.
The Kalshi government shutdown market resolves at 11 AM ET. But only if the OPM website posts a shutdown notice by then. $60M riding on whether a government webpage updates in time. @GroyperFinance_ wasn’t waiting to find out.
The Call
“Great pick, Scott. Will the OPM website reflect the partial government shutdown beginning at midnight?”
@skupor, Director of the Office of Personnel Management: “How do you know there will be a shutdown??!! Seriously, we will update the website if need be.”
Hours later: “You got your wish - website will be updated!”
“TIL - apparently people will bet on literally anything, including when/whether @USOPM will update it’s website for the government shutdown. G-d bless America :)“
The Payoff
The website updated. @GroyperFinance_ cashed $118K in Yes contracts: “I got the OPM director to personally confirm to me the bet will win. I’m so insane.”
Why wait for the market when the oracle has a public Twitter?