The Kalshi Song of the Year favorite has never won. Ever. Tonight was no different.

WILDFLOWER spikes to 100% on announcement

The favorite was Golden from K-pop demon hunters. The winner was WILDFLOWER by Billie. $7.3M in total volume learning the same lesson.

Winners & Losers

dutch.test's winning position

@dutch.test faded K-pop hype and now has rent for the year. “This win will keep me alive for a few months lol.” Meanwhile everyone who aped the favorite at 63 cents is coping in silence.

The Pattern

@GaetenD called this in December. Nobody listened.

Kalshi Grammy historical data

The data was right there. The favorite above 50 cents has never hit. 2023’s winner was at a penny before the envelope opened. This isn’t variance. This is the market telling you something.

2026 pre-announcement odds

Billie stays eating. The curse stays undefeated. Your bankroll? That’s on you.